Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000126 0.000140 0.000155 0.000172 0.000191 0.000211 0.000235
2025-10-26 0.000104 0.000123 0.000144 0.000170 0.000200 0.000236 0.000279
2025-11-02 0.000089 0.000110 0.000135 0.000168 0.000209 0.000258 0.000323
2025-11-09 0.000077 0.000100 0.000129 0.000167 0.000218 0.000282 0.000370
2025-11-16 0.000068 0.000092 0.000122 0.000165 0.000224 0.000302 0.000413
2025-11-23 0.000061 0.000085 0.000117 0.000165 0.000232 0.000324 0.000461
2025-11-30 0.000055 0.000080 0.000114 0.000165 0.000240 0.000347 0.000513
2025-12-07 0.000050 0.000074 0.000109 0.000163 0.000245 0.000366 0.000560
2025-12-14 0.000046 0.000071 0.000107 0.000165 0.000256 0.000394 0.000622
2025-12-21 0.000043 0.000068 0.000105 0.000166 0.000264 0.000418 0.000680
2025-12-28 0.000040 0.000064 0.000102 0.000165 0.000269 0.000438 0.000732
2026-01-04 0.000038 0.000062 0.000101 0.000168 0.000281 0.000469 0.000806
2026-01-11 0.000035 0.000059 0.000098 0.000168 0.000289 0.000495 0.000875
2026-01-18 0.000033 0.000056 0.000096 0.000167 0.000296 0.000519 0.000943
2026-01-25 0.000030 0.000053 0.000093 0.000166 0.000301 0.000541 0.001010
2026-02-01 0.000028 0.000051 0.000091 0.000166 0.000308 0.000567 0.001086
2026-02-08 0.000026 0.000049 0.000088 0.000165 0.000312 0.000586 0.001151
2026-02-15 0.000025 0.000046 0.000086 0.000164 0.000317 0.000611 0.001229
2026-02-22 0.000023 0.000045 0.000084 0.000164 0.000325 0.000639 0.001316
2026-03-01 0.000022 0.000043 0.000082 0.000163 0.000328 0.000659 0.001389
2026-03-08 0.000021 0.000042 0.000081 0.000165 0.000340 0.000696 0.001500
2026-03-15 0.000020 0.000040 0.000080 0.000166 0.000348 0.000727 0.001602
2026-03-22 0.000019 0.000039 0.000078 0.000164 0.000352 0.000750 0.001687